Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.672729 3.934919 4.214209 4.535153 4.895403 5.289200 5.754841
2025-05-18 3.240187 3.608049 4.024600 4.536521 5.156237 5.892330 6.848742
2025-05-25 2.911854 3.318589 3.796738 4.410008 5.190566 6.172790 7.540469
2025-06-01 2.683911 3.112599 3.631113 4.318699 5.229798 6.432670 8.211338
2025-06-08 2.544852 2.997169 3.558362 4.325528 5.381114 6.840811 9.133478
2025-06-15 2.455182 2.933011 3.540085 4.394329 5.613664 7.380003 10.334746
2025-06-22 2.296543 2.768015 3.376026 4.247572 5.521741 7.425768 10.752841
2025-06-29 2.173593 2.641550 3.253504 4.146175 5.481534 7.538563 11.294198
2025-07-06 2.067586 2.531201 3.145063 4.054750 5.444429 7.646593 11.839706
2025-07-13 2.002311 2.471608 3.101810 4.052727 5.541250 7.980480 12.869315
2025-07-20 1.960838 2.441665 3.097108 4.105559 5.726891 8.485474 14.353378
2025-07-27 1.923682 2.415295 3.095083 4.160805 5.919680 9.027271 16.060857
2025-08-03 1.861286 2.354723 3.046066 4.149022 6.015050 9.434639 17.674085
2025-08-10 1.805725 2.301999 3.006674 4.151305 6.138672 9.925794 19.710396
2025-08-17 1.724824 2.209088 2.902324 4.040878 6.049821 9.974210 20.590133
2025-08-24 1.658040 2.133689 2.820320 3.961024 6.008060 10.113925 21.795350
2025-08-31 1.617761 2.095022 2.791695 3.967001 6.125082 10.614947 24.350548
2025-09-07 1.593359 2.078380 2.795516 4.027175 6.350908 11.404597 28.366326
2025-09-14 1.526628 1.996232 2.693616 3.898737 6.193946 11.264627 28.874948
2025-09-21 1.472833 1.931708 2.616837 3.809816 6.108729 11.288984 30.090438
2025-09-28 1.424078 1.873181 2.547206 3.729512 6.034061 11.329237 31.426109
2025-10-05 1.395325 1.843894 2.522741 3.727733 6.120713 11.799547 35.075795
2025-10-12 1.378391 1.831877 2.525213 3.774156 6.313118 12.593356 41.170084